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Prediction of Gael Monfils [44th] vs Denis Shapovalov [29th] Head-to-Head At The 2025 BMW Open - Munich (04-14-25)

By Wojtek Kolan - April 13, 2025

Clay COURT
Monday
10:00 AM (CET)
Kolkata
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Monfils vs. Shapovalov Forecast

Derived from the implied probability from the moneyline, Shapovalov has a 54.34% chance to win.

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Prediction Chance To Win
Gael Monfils 50.74 %
Denis Shapovalov 54.34 %

Above is calculated from odds. Login now to discover our expert predictions.

Head-To-Head: Monfils 2 - 1 Shapovalov

Monfils and Shapovalov have faced off in 9 sets, with Monfils leading 5 to 4. Their latest encounter was at the ABN AMRO Open in Rotterdam on February 14, 2024, where Monfils secured a 7-6(4), 7-6(5) win. Will Shapovalov turn the tables in their next meeting?

Players Head-To-Head Match Wins
Gael Monfils 2
Denis Shapovalov 1
Monfils vs Shapovalov H2H Profile
Monfils Stats Shapovalov
71% (15-6) YTD Win/Loss 63% (12-7)
2 Head-to-Head 1
44 Ranking 29
6 Highest Rank 10
38 Age 25
R Plays L
20 Titles 9
64% (656-366) Career Total W/L 60% (323-217)
$17,859,645 Career Prize Money $9,214,620
1 YTD Titles 1
1 Hard H2H 0
0 Clay H2H 0
1 Indoor H2H 1
0 Grass H2H 0

Who Do Our Users Think Will Win?

Who will win?

Monfils
Shapovalov
Vote Yourself To Show Results

MATCHSTAT.COM PREDICTION

Monfils VS Shapovalov Clay

BMW Open - Munich atp

14 Apr 2025 / First

Denis Shapovalov implied favourite from odds → 54.34%

ODDS
OUR PREDICTION
Edge

Gael Monfils

To Win

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Denis Shapovalov

To Win

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Denis Shapovalov

To Win first set

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Gael Monfils

To Win first set

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Denis Shapovalov

To win 2-0

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Gael Monfils

To win 2-0

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Gael Monfils

To win 2-1

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Denis Shapovalov

To win 2-1

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over 20

Games

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Recent Performance Stats (Last 6 Months)

Monfils VS Shapovalov H2H Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
7-6(4) 7-6(5)
cross
Gael Monfils
Player
Denis Shapovalov
66% ( 53 of 80)
1st Serve %
58% ( 46 of 79)
4
Aces
14
0
Double Faults
2
77% ( 41 of 53)
1st Serve Won
83% ( 38 of 46)
74% ( 20 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
55% ( 18 of 33)
0% ( 0 of 1)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 3)
24% ( 19 of 80)
Rtn Points Won
29% ( 23 of 79)
84
Total Points Won
75
6-2 6-2
cross
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Gael Monfils
64% ( 25 of 39)
1st Serve %
59% ( 33 of 56)
5
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
3
92% ( 23 of 25)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 18 of 33)
64% ( 9 of 14)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 11 of 23)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
18% ( 7 of 39)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 27 of 56)
59
Total Points Won
36
6-7(5) 7-6(4) 6-4 6-7(6) 6-3
cross
Gael Monfils
Player
Denis Shapovalov
70% ( 124 of 177)
1st Serve %
63% ( 114 of 180)
12
Aces
6
5
Double Faults
11
74% ( 92 of 124)
1st Serve Won
70% ( 80 of 114)
49% ( 26 of 53)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 33 of 66)
33% ( 7 of 21)
Break Points Won
45% ( 5 of 11)
33% ( 59 of 177)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 67 of 180)
185
Total Points Won
172

Monfils VS Shapovalov H2H Stats

Monfils Vs Shapovalov H2H Stats
Gael Monfils Monfils Stats Denis Shapovalov Shapovalov
2 H2H Matches 1
5 Sets Won 4
49 Games Won 51
19 Aces (Total) 25
8 Total Double Faults 13
2:3:53 Average Match Time 2:3:53
67% (210/313) 1st Serve % 62% (185/298)
72% (151/210) 1st Serve Win % 76% (141/185)
55% (57/103) 2nd Serve Win % 53% (60/113)
32% (7/22) Break Points Won % (Total) 47% (9/19)
33% (97/298) Return Points Win % 34% (105/313)
50% (1/2) Best of 3 Sets Win % 50% (1/2)
100% (1/1) Best of 5 Sets Win % 0% (0/1)
60% (3/5) Tiebreaks Win % (Total) 40% (2/5)
100% (1/1) Deciding Set Win % 0% (0/1)
100% (1/1) 1st Set Won, Won Match 50% (2/1)
0% (1/0) 1st Set Won, Lost Match 50% (2/1)
50% (2/1) 1st Set Lost, Won Match 0% (1/0)

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

Gael Monfils vs Denis Shapovalov Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Monfils 2 - 1 Shapovalov

Editorial Prediction:

Imagine you’re about to witness an electrifying tennis match and you can't decide who to bet on, Monfils or Shapovalov. A closer look at their recent second serve performance reveals Monfils has a slight edge, winning 50.83% of those points compared to Shapovalov's 46.18%. Could this be the pivotal factor that influences the outcome of the match?

The return game paints another picture. Both players exhibit closely matched skills with Monfils taking 44.58% and Shapovalov 44.72% of their opponent's second serve. When it comes to first serve returns, Shapovalov edges out with 22.72% over Monfils' 20.18%. But will these small margins be the ones to watch?

Under pressure, Monfils has demonstrated resilience, saving 58.11% of breakpoints, slightly more than Shapovalov's 54.55%. This statistic might just be crucial when the game reaches tense moments requiring steely nerves and focus.

Looking back at their recent performances, Monfils has secured 62.22% of his matches in the past year, lining up favorably close to Shapovalov's 62.9%. Yet, could Shapovalov’s track record on the Main tour, boasting a 71.88% win rate, offer him an advantage over Monfils who has emerged victorious in 57.89% in the Masters series?

Exploring their preferred surfaces reveals intriguing insights too. Indoor hard surfaces seem to be both players’ forte, with Monfils winning 69% and Shapovalov 62% of matches. Grass remains their Achilles’ heel with Monfils winning only 58% and Shapovalov 50%. Could surface preference swing the match either way?

Their head-to-head history is another storyline, with Monfils claiming two out of three encounters against Shapovalov. The overall sets tally reveals a close contest too, with Monfils ahead by a single set. Nonetheless, the last match on an indoor hard court saw Monfils triumph, possibly setting the stage for a repeat performance.

Monfils’ track record in deciding sets is compelling, having clinched 73% of such matches in the last 12 months. Compare this to Shapovalov’s 56%, and Monfils appears to have the upper hand when the stakes skyrocket. Even in tiebreaks, Monfils holds a slight advantage, winning three out of their five duels.

Could the quality of their opponents also shed light on potential outcomes? Monfils has faced tougher opponents with an average ranking of 70.96 compared to Shapovalov’s 80.76, possibly honing Monfils' competitive edge further.

In the heat of the match, whoever seizes breakpoints could clinch the win. Recent form shows Monfils has been converting 32% of these opportunities, a touch more efficient than Shapovalov's 28.57%. If this match becomes a battle of mental fortitude, look for Monfils to come out on top.

Gael Monfils Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R2
cross
Andrey Rublev
Player
Gael Monfils
55% ( 36 of 66)
1st Serve %
53% ( 41 of 77)
5
Aces
10
1
Double Faults
6
72% ( 26 of 36)
1st Serve Won
80% ( 33 of 41)
63% ( 19 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 12 of 36)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
32% ( 21 of 66)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 32 of 77)
77
Total Points Won
66
L
6-4 7-6(2) H2H
R1
cross
Gael Monfils
Player
Fabian Marozsan
54% ( 39 of 72)
1st Serve %
65% ( 53 of 81)
4
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
3
77% ( 30 of 39)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 32 of 53)
61% ( 20 of 33)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 11 of 28)
36% ( 5 of 14)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
31% ( 22 of 72)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 38 of 81)
88
Total Points Won
65
W
4-6 6-1 6-1 H2H
R4
cross
Sebastian Korda
Player
Gael Monfils
59% ( 49 of 83)
1st Serve %
67% ( 56 of 83)
6
Aces
8
3
Double Faults
4
80% ( 39 of 49)
1st Serve Won
77% ( 43 of 56)
44% ( 15 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 12 of 27)
33% ( 2 of 6)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
35% ( 29 of 83)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 28 of 83)
82
Total Points Won
84
L
6-4 2-6 6-4 H2H
R3
cross
Gael Monfils
Player
Jaume Antoni Munar Clar
66% ( 73 of 110)
1st Serve %
65% ( 68 of 104)
7
Aces
8
5
Double Faults
2
78% ( 57 of 73)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 49 of 68)
46% ( 17 of 37)
2nd Serve Won
56% ( 20 of 36)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
75% ( 3 of 4)
33% ( 36 of 110)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 35 of 104)
109
Total Points Won
105
W
7-5 5-7 7-6(1) H2H
R2
cross
Gael Monfils
Player
Jiri Lehecka
66% ( 59 of 89)
1st Serve %
55% ( 53 of 97)
14
Aces
8
3
Double Faults
3
80% ( 47 of 59)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 36 of 53)
53% ( 16 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
59% ( 26 of 44)
33% ( 2 of 6)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
29% ( 26 of 89)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 35 of 97)
98
Total Points Won
88
W
6-1 3-6 7-6(8) H2H
R1
cross
Gael Monfils
Player
Fabian Marozsan
65% ( 54 of 83)
1st Serve %
76% ( 71 of 93)
15
Aces
5
3
Double Faults
0
78% ( 42 of 54)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 45 of 71)
52% ( 15 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
55% ( 12 of 22)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
31% ( 26 of 83)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 36 of 93)
93
Total Points Won
83
W
6-3 3-6 6-4 H2H
R3
cross
Grigor Dimitrov
Player
Gael Monfils
56% ( 65 of 116)
1st Serve %
60% ( 73 of 122)
3
Aces
8
7
Double Faults
6
68% ( 44 of 65)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 53 of 73)
65% ( 33 of 51)
2nd Serve Won
55% ( 27 of 49)
18% ( 2 of 11)
Break Points Won
33% ( 3 of 9)
34% ( 39 of 116)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 42 of 122)
119
Total Points Won
119
L
7-6(4) 4-6 7-6(2) H2H
R2
cross
Gael Monfils
Player
Sebastian Korda
53% ( 42 of 80)
1st Serve %
62% ( 55 of 89)
4
Aces
4
9
Double Faults
2
81% ( 34 of 42)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 38 of 55)
58% ( 22 of 38)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 18 of 34)
29% ( 2 of 7)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
30% ( 24 of 80)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 33 of 89)
89
Total Points Won
80
W
7-6(2) 7-6(4) H2H
R1
cross
Gael Monfils
Player
Jan-Lennard Struff
56% ( 35 of 62)
1st Serve %
53% ( 36 of 68)
7
Aces
4
4
Double Faults
1
83% ( 29 of 35)
1st Serve Won
81% ( 29 of 36)
52% ( 14 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 12 of 32)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
17% ( 1 of 6)
31% ( 19 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 27 of 68)
70
Total Points Won
60
W
6-4 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Matteo Berrettini
Player
Gael Monfils
74% ( 39 of 53)
1st Serve %
59% ( 37 of 63)
9
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
4
90% ( 35 of 39)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 24 of 37)
36% ( 5 of 14)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 12 of 26)
100% ( 4 of 4)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
25% ( 13 of 53)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 27 of 63)
67
Total Points Won
49
L
7-5 6-4 H2H

Denis Shapovalov Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT RESULT Score H2H
R1
cross
Marcos Giron
Player
Denis Shapovalov
57% ( 54 of 95)
1st Serve %
52% ( 31 of 60)
1
Aces
6
0
Double Faults
4
61% ( 33 of 54)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 23 of 31)
61% ( 25 of 41)
2nd Serve Won
55% ( 16 of 29)
100% ( 2 of 2)
Break Points Won
17% ( 1 of 6)
39% ( 37 of 95)
Rtn Points Won
35% ( 21 of 60)
79
Total Points Won
76
L
6-3 7-6(5) H2H
R3
cross
Taylor Fritz
Player
Denis Shapovalov
64% ( 38 of 59)
1st Serve %
71% ( 37 of 52)
9
Aces
6
1
Double Faults
6
84% ( 32 of 38)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 23 of 37)
57% ( 12 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 8 of 15)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
25% ( 15 of 59)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 21 of 52)
65
Total Points Won
46
L
7-5 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Thiago Agustin Tirante
51% ( 55 of 108)
1st Serve %
67% ( 68 of 101)
6
Aces
8
11
Double Faults
1
75% ( 41 of 55)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 49 of 68)
53% ( 28 of 53)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 15 of 33)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
43% ( 3 of 7)
36% ( 39 of 108)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 37 of 101)
106
Total Points Won
103
W
6-3 6-7(1) 7-6(3) H2H
R3
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Denis Shapovalov
71% ( 45 of 63)
1st Serve %
53% ( 31 of 59)
2
Aces
2
5
Double Faults
8
69% ( 31 of 45)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 23 of 31)
56% ( 10 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
36% ( 10 of 28)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
25% ( 1 of 4)
35% ( 22 of 63)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 26 of 59)
67
Total Points Won
55
L
6-2 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Adam Walton
61% ( 42 of 69)
1st Serve %
64% ( 30 of 47)
2
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
2
69% ( 29 of 42)
1st Serve Won
57% ( 17 of 30)
41% ( 11 of 27)
2nd Serve Won
24% ( 4 of 17)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
20% ( 2 of 10)
42% ( 29 of 69)
Rtn Points Won
55% ( 26 of 47)
66
Total Points Won
50
W
6-3 6-2 H2H
SF
cross
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Player
Denis Shapovalov
70% ( 57 of 81)
1st Serve %
54% ( 51 of 94)
0
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
3
65% ( 37 of 57)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 32 of 51)
50% ( 12 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 19 of 43)
40% ( 4 of 10)
Break Points Won
57% ( 4 of 7)
40% ( 32 of 81)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 43 of 94)
92
Total Points Won
83
L
7-6(3) 7-6(1) H2H
QF
cross
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Marcos Giron
69% ( 55 of 80)
1st Serve %
65% ( 54 of 83)
3
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
0
62% ( 34 of 55)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 37 of 54)
68% ( 17 of 25)
2nd Serve Won
34% ( 10 of 29)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
60% ( 3 of 5)
36% ( 29 of 80)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 36 of 83)
87
Total Points Won
76
W
4-6 6-3 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Alex Michelsen
57% ( 30 of 53)
1st Serve %
61% ( 34 of 56)
3
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
5
67% ( 20 of 30)
1st Serve Won
47% ( 16 of 34)
74% ( 17 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 11 of 22)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
30% ( 16 of 53)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 29 of 56)
66
Total Points Won
43
W
6-4 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Nishesh Basavareddy
46% ( 26 of 57)
1st Serve %
64% ( 47 of 74)
6
Aces
1
9
Double Faults
2
77% ( 20 of 26)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 26 of 47)
55% ( 17 of 31)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 11 of 27)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
35% ( 20 of 57)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 37 of 74)
74
Total Points Won
57
W
7-5 6-2 H2H
F
cross
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Casper Ruud
68% ( 50 of 73)
1st Serve %
75% ( 55 of 73)
13
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
1
72% ( 36 of 50)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 35 of 55)
65% ( 15 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
67% ( 12 of 18)
20% ( 1 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
30% ( 22 of 73)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 26 of 73)
77
Total Points Won
69
W
7-6(5) 6-3 H2H

Where To Watch Monfils vs Shapovalov?

When the match starts we will have live scores and stats on this page. For live streaming at TV channels of this match, see our ATP and WTA worldwide viewing pages. Free trial live streaming of Monfils Vs Shapovalov is now available here.

Monfils Vs Shapovalov Prediction H2H Video

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Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

Monfils & Shapovalov Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
Gael Monfils Monfils Stats Denis Shapovalov Shapovalov
62% (188/116) Win/Loss 62% (77/48)
59% (463/328) Sets Win/Loss 59% (181/126)
53% (3965/3545) Games Win/Loss 53% (1560/1368)
0.37 Aces Per Game 0.35
1372 Aces Total 504
0.22 Double Faults Per Game 0.36
822 Total Double Faults 509
1st Match Average Match Time 1:28:9
483.64 Average Opponent Rank 322.97
63% (11980/18945) 1st Serve % 58% (4538/7840)
70% (8355/11980) 1st Serve Win % 71% (3218/4538)
49% (3433/6969) 2nd Serve Win % 52% (1701/3301)
43% (823/1929) Break Points Won % (Total) 39% (268/687)
40% (7652/19160) Return Points Win % 37% (2915/7845)
60% (144/241) Best of 3 Sets Win % 63% (70/111)
72% (43/60) Best of 5 Sets Win % 50% (7/14)
53% (56/105) Tiebreaks Win % (Total) 53% (24/45)
59% (55/93) Deciding Set Win % 53% (19/36)
88% (174/153) 1st Set Won, Won Match 88% (77/68)
12% (174/21) 1st Set Won, Lost Match 12% (77/9)
26% (129/34) 1st Set Lost, Won Match 19% (48/9)

See recent tennis photos of Monfils and Shapovalov

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Gael Monfils

BMW Open - Munich

Marozsan vs Monfils H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals

Engel vs Monfils H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals

Jarry vs Monfils H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals

Humbert vs Monfils H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals

View full predicted draw for Monfils in Munich

Potential H2H Matches This Week For Denis Shapovalov

BMW Open - Munich

Marozsan vs Shapovalov H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals

Engel vs Shapovalov H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals

Jarry vs Shapovalov H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals

Humbert vs Shapovalov H2H, could play in The Quarterfinals

View full predicted draw for Shapovalov in Munich

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